How to create a sports betting model? There are numerous different live betting models, but the most important thing is that you design your own based on the objectives you are pursuing.
How to create a sports betting model?
Although no system offers a complete guarantee of success. However, in this guide, we aim to understand what a betting model requires and explain the steps necessary for you. So you can create your model and be able to get a certain advantage against the house when placing bets.
1. Determine the market for your betting model:
To build your betting model, you need to start by deciding on the approach to it – this may be. For example, the system concentrating on predicting the market probability of over / under in league games soccer.
2. Identify the necessary statistics:
In this second step, you must choose what statistics are necessary for your betting model to succeed. The most important aspects that you must decide are:
How far back in time will your stats be based? This will be decisively influenced by how the last games have gone – since analyzing the statistics you will take more into account the recent than. For example, the results of the previous season.
If you are going to focus on the statistics of all the matches played by a specific team, or only of their matches in a specific league or competition.
3. Collect statistics:
Third, you should start collecting the statistics and information that will guide your betting model. A model must always be built on statistics and objective information, which is why this step is crucial.
4. Consider possible exceptions to your objectives:
After you have collected all the necessary statistics and have set clear goals for your betting model, you should also consider exceptional situations. By this, we mean that there will be factors that will make your model frustrated in certain matches. Hence you must be clear in which cases your model is useful and in which not.
5. Build your betting model:
Once you will define the betting model based on what has been commented, the time comes to create it properly. To do this, it is highly recommended that you have experience with one or more of these computer programs:
– Excel
– Maple
– MathCloud
– Freemat
6. Test and analyze the model:
The last stage of model development is to test it and analyze the result. Initially, it will be a good idea to test your model on match odds that have already been played. Because once you will analyze based on past results, you will be able to do a real test – although you must be very cautious and careful at first.
